Dems fret over tightening polls

TheHill | 11/5/2016 | Jonathan Easley and Amie Parnes
hubbog (Posted by) Level 3
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Are the polls skewed?

More and more Democrats appear to be worried that they are.

Nominee - Donald - Trump - Margin - Error

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is within the margin of error of Democrat Hillary Clinton in the preponderance of battleground states, and Republicans are suddenly rallying behind him, filling Democrats with anxiety that the vote count could deviate from the polls and produce a Trump victory.

Asked if she bought into the theory that the polls are wrong and Trump might actually be ahead, Democratic strategist Christy Setzer responded: “I do, unfortunately.”

Clinton - Decision - State - Michigan - Reach

She pointed to Clinton’s decision to advertise in the state of Michigan, which had seemed to be safely out of reach for Trump.

“Look no further than the campaign's travel schedule and ad buys to see where they're worried — battleground states that seemed so out of reach for Trump, Clinton stopped advertising in them...and now are on the airwaves again,” Setzer said.

Partisans - Sides - Aisle - Mountains - Data

Partisans on both sides of the aisle are sifting through mountains of late-breaking data, looking for evidence that pollsters are erring in their analyses or underestimating one candidate’s support.

Clinton is the favorite heading into Election Day.

Lead - Battleground - Map - Breathing - Room

While she holds a small lead nationally, the battleground map that gives her some breathing room.

Trump, on the other hand, must run the table on states Mitt Romney won in 2012 – no easy feat, as Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina look like toss-ups. He must also pull an upset victory in a state where Clinton is favored, such as in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, or Nevada.

Trump - Polls - Favor - Democrats

Trump argues that polls are too heavily weighted in favor of Democrats.

His concerns have been echoed by some Republicans who say that surveys may be overestimating turnout among minority voters, potentially leading Clinton to underperform on Election Day. They also argue that working class white voters who have never before voted might turn out for Trump,...
(Excerpt) Read more at: TheHill
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