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The Producers Guild Association awards were tonight, and Oscar prognosticators were tuned to what the guild would choose as Best Picture. Since the PGA and the Oscars have expanded the Best Picture category, there have only been two times when the PGA winner didn’t line up with the Oscars: La La Land (the Oscar went to Moonlight) and The Big Short (the Oscar went to Spotlight). Tonight’s ceremony was seen as a way to get a clearer picture on the Oscar race with films like Joker, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, 1917, and Parasite all jockeying for position.
In the end, the PGA awarded their top prize to 1917, which now positions the war drama as the frontrunner in the race. The film picked up the Golden Globe for Best Drama a couple weeks ago, and helmer Sam Mendes is likely to win the Oscar for Best Director since the Academy tends to value technical achievements in the category (see Gravity, Birdman). However, there are a couple knocks against the movie as far as Oscar prognostication goes. The...
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