Humans have 1 in 14,000 chances of going extinct next year - more than getting struck by lightning

Mail Online | 11/11/2019 | Stacy Liberatore For
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Humans have a higher risk of going extinct in the next year than they do being attacked by a shark or struck by lightning, a new study has found.

Researchers concluded the probability of our species dying off from natural causes in any given year is one in 14,000.

Team - Risk - Increases - Man-made - Threats

The team has also noted the risk increases when man-made threats are added to the calculation -this includes nuclear weapons or climate change.

The recent study into human extinction was conducted by researchers at the University of Oxford, which set out to determine the total probability of human extinction from natural causes, which include asteroid impacts and super volcanic eruptions.

Team - Human - Year - Reign - Earth

The team looked at human's 200,000 year reign on Earth, fossils and archaeological data, other species extinction rates and even calculated the mass extinction in to determine when our species could die-off.


Calculation - Humans - Chance - Extinct - Individual

This calculation means that humans have a better chance of becoming extinct that an individual has at being struck by lightning (1 in 700,000), being attacked by a shark (1 in 650,000) or event dating a supermodel (1 in 880,000), as reported by The Sun.

For a second portion of this study, the team looked at fossil data and found that the probability decreased to one in 23,000.

Team - Records - Artifacts - Hundreds - Thousands

The team gathered archaeological and fossil records from artifacts that are hundreds of thousands years old – many of which came from Morocco and Ethiopia.

Last year, a separate team of researchers designed a model to determine the three possible fates for our planet as Earth's population grows and the effects of climate change worsen.

Mathematicians - Civilizations - Exoplanets - Changing - Environment

Mathematicians modeled how advanced civilizations on ancient exoplanets might have survived or perished when faced with a similar changing environment.

They showed that humanity could go through a soft landing, a gradual die-off, or full blown collapse.

Experts - Die-off

Experts said a die-off, in which as much...
(Excerpt) Read more at: Mail Online
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