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Boris Johnson is set to face the first big political test of his leadership against Nigel Farage's Brexit Party days after taking over as prime minister in a tense by-election.
Assuming he wins the Tory leadership campaign the runaway favourite will lead the party into a crunch vote in Wales after expenses cheat Chris Davies was booted from the Commons by a recall petition.
By-election - Week - July - Days - PM
The by-election is likely in the last week of July - days after the new PM is unveiled - in Brecon and Radnorshire, which in a mirror image of the nation as a whole voted 52% to 48% to leave in the 2016 Brexit referendum.
Nigel Farage's Party confirmed today that it would stand against the Conservatives, with chairman Richard Tice saying: 'The sheer scale of the vote to force a recall and a by-election shows how strongly the level of dissatisfaction with politics in the country is rising up the agenda.
Brexit - Party - Forthcoming - Election - People
'The Brexit Party will be contesting the forthcoming by election. It is clear that people of this county want to change politics for good.'
Mr Davies, 51, became the second MP to lose a recall petition following the by-election in Peterborough earlier this month in which the Tories limped home in fourth place.
Labour - Brexit - Party - Cambridgeshire - Seat
Labour just held off the Brexit Party to retain the Cambridgeshire seat previously held by disgraced Fiona Onasanya.
But Mr Davies had an 8,000 majority in Brecon, while Peterborough was a Tory/Labour marginal, and any defeat or narrow win in the south east Wales seat would be greeted with panic in Tory HQ.
Swing - Brexit - Party - Seat - Brexiteer
Any swing to the Brexit Party could either win it the seat or split the Brexiteer vote and hand the area to the Remainer Lib Dems - who held it for almost 20 years until 2015.
Welsh nationalist party suggested it was also...
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