Oscars 2019: Best picture predictions

CNET | 2/17/2019 | Jennifer Bisset
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The beautiful Roma is the frontrunner for the Oscar best picture.

If Bohemian Rhapsody can win best drama at the Golden Globes, who knows what will happen at the Oscars.

Oscars - Starts - Gold - Statues - Men

Oscars 2019 starts giving out gold statues of men on Sunday, Feb. 24 at 5 p.m. PT. Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman, Bohemian Rhapsody, The Favourite, Green Book, Roma, A Star is Born and Vice are all up for best picture.

With their 10 nominations each, the frontrunners are looking like Roma and The Favourite but if the Academy decides to make a surprise selection (Moonlight had the most dramatic surprise win) Bohemian Rhapsody and the rest might be in with a chance.

Films - Win - Picture

Here are the films we think will most likely win best picture.

Based off its recent BAFTA wins in both the best picture and best director categories, Alfonso Cuaron's Roma is the safe bet. Also, it's in black-and-white: The Academy loves its auteurs and their serious arthouse, with voters having tipped their fedoras to recent winners Moonlight and Birdman.

Roma - Sound - Music-level - Storytelling - Cleo

It helps that Roma is The Sound of Music-level moving storytelling, following Cleo, a cleaner and carer for a middle class family in 1970s Mexico. The moving painting of a film weaves in autobiographical elements from Cuaron's childhood during a time of political unrest. This, a child who grew up to be an Oscar winner (for Gravity) and the director behind the best Harry Potter film of the lot. A best picture win would be some celebration of the treasured filmmaker.

Viggo Mortensen (left) and Mahershala Ali in Green Book.

Roma - Book - Rule - Thumb - Films

What would hold Roma back and what elevates Green Book, is the general rule of thumb that films with a best film editing nod have a shot at best picture (Birdman is one of the exceptions to this rule). Roma does not have a nomination in the category,...
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