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The number of Ebola cases recorded each day in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has doubled, indicating that it may spread to other regions and other countries.
According to Jean-Philippe Marcoux, country directory for Mercy Corps in DRC, “Now it’s doubling – it’s very possible that it can double again. If we don’t significantly increase the resources, it will keep increasing. It will spread progressively to other health areas and it will be there for a long time.”
If this doubling continues, it would represent exponential growth.
The current Ebola outbreak in DRC began in July 2018 and is now the largest in that country’s history and the second largest ever recorded. According to the country’s health ministry, as of January 17, 2019, there have been 668 cases and 410 deaths in the outbreak.
Cases - Provinces - North - Kivu - Ituru
The cases are centered in two northeastern provinces, North Kivu and Ituru, which is a war zone in an extremely violent ongoing ethnic civil war. No cases have yet been identified outside DRC, but the increasingly rapid spread of the disease is raising concerns that it will soon travel to Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and even South Sudan.
The epidemic was originally centered in Beni, with a population of 232,000. But it has spread to Butembo, with a population of over a million, a densely populated trade city near the Uganda border. Further south along the highway from Butembo are the million-plus population cities Goma and Bukavu. The World Health Organization (WHO) has been focusing its efforts on preventing a spread to the latter two cities, since “all bets are off” for stopping the epidemic if it reaches there.
Problem - War - Disease - Fashion - Result
The problem is that the continuing war causes the disease to spread in an uncontrolled and unexpected fashion. The result is that new cases of Ebola keep popping up in unforeseen places and...
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